Category: The World

Did Israel Intercept Any Iranian Missiles?

Posted on by esimantiras

Did Israel Intercept Any Iranian Missiles?

source: https://joecirincione.substack.com (contributed by FAN, Bill Amshey)  |  image: pexels.com

The available evidence indicates that most of Iran’s missiles got through.

Something has been bothering me. Almost every reporter and Israeli official says that Israel intercepted most of the 180 missiles Iran fired at three Israeli military bases October 1. If that were true, then you would expect to see dozens of large explosions in the air as the Israeli Arrow 2 or Arrow 3 interceptors found their targets and destroyed the incoming warheads.

But that is not what you see. Dozens of videos show scores of missiles streaking across the sky with many hitting the ground and exploding in fireballs. There are numerous reports of substantial ground damage, including large craters, damaged buildings and at least one intact ballistic missile that failed to explode.

It appears that the Iranian missiles were so inaccurate that most landed a kilometer or more from their intended targets, with some landing in the sea or in vacant land. The Washington Post reports, in one of the few attempts to independently assess the damage, that, “Video recorded from the southern town of Ar’arat an-Naqab on Tuesday showed at least 20 projectiles flying through the air above the Nevatim military air base. At least six missiles hit the facility, erupting into fireballs; plumes of smoke rose from the airfield. No aircraft was hit, the Israel Defense Forces told Israeli media.” Continue reading “Did Israel Intercept Any Iranian Missiles?” →

Fighting the last war

Posted on by esimantiras

Fighting the Last War

source: axios.com (contributed by FAN, Bill Amshey)  | image: pexels.com

 

The United States — its citizens, industry, decision-makers and military — is unprepared for a war that could kick off with Russia and China and later engulf the world, according to a new blue chip study.

Why it matters: The Commission on the National Defense Strategy, a congressionally mandated group with members handpicked by Democratic and Republican lawmakers, is not known for hyperbole. Its conclusions, that the U.S. “has not kept pace with a worsening situation,” should be a wakeup call.

Here are some of the top-line issues the commission laid out in 100-plus pages published this week:

  • China has “largely negated the U.S. military advantage” in the Western Pacificafter 20 years of investment.
  • The Pentagon’s portrayal of Russia as an “acute threat” undersells the “ongoing and persistent” nature of the hazards it poses, especially in space and cyber. Moscow-aligned hackers are expected to sow chaos across the U.S. should war break out.
  • The means by which the Pentagon purchases weapons are outdated, as are the ultimate products. Successes like the DIU are system workarounds that don’t have enough resources.
  • Stateside production capacity is “grossly inadequate,” meaning a “World War II–style industrial mobilization” is off the table. A protracted fight, as seen in Ukraine, is incredibly taxing.
  • Recruiting failures have stunted the services. Techniques once used to bring people in the door are in desperate need of an overhaul (no more strip mall recruiting offices and discolored billboards).
  • Congress “has become a major impediment to national security” and fails to fund the government in a timely manner, while billions of dollars are wasted and new projects are kneecapped.
  • Public support for a strong military and robust alliances is evaporating amid political polarization and peacetime disengagement. Continue reading “Fighting the last war” →

U.S. Not Ready for Global War

Posted on by esimantiras

U.S. Not Ready for Global War

source: axios.com (contributed by FAN, Bill Amshey) | image: pexels.com

The United States — its citizens, industry, decision-makers and military — is unprepared for a war that could kick off with Russia and China and later engulf the world, Axios’ Colin Demarest writes from a new study.

Why it matters: The Commission on the National Defense Strategy, a congressionally mandated group with members handpicked by Democratic and Republican lawmakers, isn’t known for hyperbole.

  • Its conclusion — that the U.S. “has not kept pace with a worsening situation” — should be a wakeup call.

Here are some of the top-line issues the commission laid out in a 100-plus-page document published this week:

  1. 🇨🇳 China has “largely negated the U.S. military advantage” in the Western Pacific after 20 years of investment.
  2. 🇷🇺 The Pentagon’s portrayal of Russia as an “acute threat” undersells the “ongoing and persistent” nature of the hazards it poses, especially in space and cyber.
  3. 🏭 Stateside production capacity is “grossly inadequate” — meaning a “World War II–style industrial mobilization” is off the table.

 

 

China and Russia, two sides of a vise

Posted on by esimantiras

 

 

China and Russia, two sides of a vise

   

source: axios.com (contributed by FAN, Bill Amshey)  |  images: pixabay.com & pexels.com

 

The complementary scheming of Russia and China dominated discussions among some of the world’s highest-ranking military and political officials at the Aspen Security Forum.

Why it matters: To hear the national security brain trust tell it in Colorado, Western primacy is in a vise, with Moscow and Beijing together applying the pressure.

Here are a few examples, laid bare at last week’s conference, where the U.S. and its allies are being challenged:

  • In space, China aims to “displace the United States as the global leader” and exploit it “in a way that is to our detriment,” said Lt. Gen. Jeffrey Kruse, the Defense Intelligence Agency director.
  • When China blew up a satellite in 2007, “they put us on notice,” and “we have only seen their development of counter-space weapons just rapidly, breathtakingly, increase,” said U.S. Space Command boss Gen. Stephen Whiting.
  • Online, Russia peddles disinformation that influences elections. China absconds with sensitive information that springboards its weapons development and broader economy.
  • “If Xi Jinping were sitting on this stage, he would say, ‘Thank you very much for allowing us to cherry-pick, to pick your pocket, of leading technologies and IP,'” said Jon Huntsman Jr., a former U.S. ambassador to China and Russia.
  • On the ground and at sea, Russia and China use their troops to muddle borders. Those nearby document the belligerence, but denunciations have done little to stop them.
  • “If we allow it to become the norm, that a larger state can change its smaller neighbors’ borders with force, then which border remains secure?” said Jonatan Vseviov, the secretary general of Estonia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Continue reading “China and Russia, two sides of a vise” →

The new defense disruptors

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The new defense disruptors

source: axios.com (contributed by FAN, Bill Amshey) | image: pixabay.com

 

A global technology race, supercharged by a combative China and daily innovation on the Ukrainian front line, is fostering a fresh crop of companies capable of reshaping the U.S. military-industrial complex.

Why it matters: A flood of investment is fueling these artificial intelligence, autonomy, cyber and space specialists at a time when weapons-buying orthodoxy is being questioned.

  • The entrants are feeding a pool of Defense Department suppliers that has for decades consolidated, posing “serious consequences for national security,” according to a 2022 review of industrial base competition.
  • Some of the standouts are dubbed dual-use, serving both commercial and defense markets.

Continue reading “The new defense disruptors” →

Nigeria is emerging as a critical mineral hub

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Nigeria is emerging as a critical mineral hub. The government is cracking down on illegal operations

source: apnews.com (contributed by FAN, Steve Page)  | image: pixabay.com

 

ABUJA, Nigeria (AP) — Nigeria’s government is cracking down on illegal mining, making dozens of arrests of unlicensed miners since April for allegedly stealing the country’s lithium, a critical mineral used in batteries for electric vehicles, smartphones and power systems.

The recent arrests come as Nigeria seeks to regulate its mining operations of critical minerals, curb illegal activity and better benefit from its mineral resources. The clean energy transition, a shift away from coal, oil and gas and toward renewable energy and batteries has spiked global demand for lithium, tin and other minerals. Illegal mines are rife in the country’s fledging industry as corruption among regulatory officials is common and the mineral deposits are located in remote areas with minimal government presence. Officials say profits from illicit mining practices has helped arm militia groups in the north of the county. Continue reading “Nigeria is emerging as a critical mineral hub” →

Report calls for U.S. biodefense buildup

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Report calls for U.S. biodefense buildup

source: axios.com (contributed by FAN, Bill Amshey)  |  image: pixabay.com

 

A new report calls on all levels of government to strengthen U.S. biodefense measures and urges policymakers to codify parts of a national strategy to address an array of biological threats.

Why it matters: Threats in the form of infectious disease outbreaks, lab accidents and biology-based weapons are expected to increase in the coming years, according to the report’s authors and other experts.

  • But biodefense investments get caught in a cycle of “panic and neglect” — an intense focus for a short period, after which policymakers, funders and the public move on, the report notes.
  • “Every future administration must ensure that the National Biodefense Strategy keeps pace with the rapidly evolving and increasing biological threat,” the authors of the 2024 National Blueprint for Biodefense write. Continue reading “Report calls for U.S. biodefense buildup” →

“Convince us to stay”: U.S.-China ties see head-spinning shift

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“Convince us to stay”:

U.S.-China ties see head-spinning shift

source: axios.com (contributed by FAN, Steve Page) |  image: pexels.com

 

For decades, Corporate America has raced to cash in on China‘s economy. Now China officials are in sell-mode, a stunning reversal from years past.

Why it matters: CEOs know the two nations are economically intertwined in a way that can’t easily be undone. But executives are more cautious, a subtle yet significant sign of a power dynamic shift underway between the U.S. and China.

What they’re saying: “Often foreign companies were on the solicitous side, like ‘can you please let us in?,'” Kurt Tong, the former U.S. envoy to Hong Kong, tells Axios.

  • “Now it’s a little bit more like ‘convince us to stay,'” Tong, who is currently at the Asia Group, adds.

Continue reading ““Convince us to stay”: U.S.-China ties see head-spinning shift” →

Hacker Nation: The World’s Third-Largest Economy

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Hacker Nation: The World’s Third-Largest Economy

 

source: technewsworld.com  |  image: pexels.com

 

During the past 40 years, hackers have graduated from worm attacks in the 1980s to fully funded organizations tapping into some of the most lucrative industries in the world. Today, cybercrime is a significant threat to any company with a device attached to the internet and continues to cause substantial economic impact worldwide.

The modern-day cyberattack can trace its roots back to the 1988 Morris worm attack. Before the World Wide Web had made an impact, a small program launched from a computer at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) propagated remarkably. It infected an estimated 6,000 of the approximately 60,000 computers connected to the internet at the time. Although it was difficult to calculate the exact damage caused by the Morris worm, estimates put it anywhere between US$100,000 and the millions.

Continue reading “Hacker Nation: The World’s Third-Largest Economy” →

A Titanic Geopolitical Struggle Is Underway

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 A Titanic Geopolitical Struggle Is Underway

 

source: axios.com, contributed by FAN, Bill Amshey  |  image: pexels.com

There are many ways to explain the two biggest conflicts in the world today, but my own shorthand has been that Ukraine wants to join the West and Israel wants to join the Arab East — and Russia, with Iran’s help, is trying to stop the first, and Iran and Hamas are trying to stop the second.

While the two battlefronts may look very different, they actually have a lot in common. They reflect a titanic geopolitical struggle between two opposing networks of nations and nonstate actors over whose values and interests will dominate our post-post-Cold War world — following the relatively stable Pax Americana/globalization era that was ushered in by the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 and the collapse of the Soviet bloc, America’s chief Cold War rival.

Yes, this is no ordinary geopolitical moment.

Continue reading “A Titanic Geopolitical Struggle Is Underway” →